Let's Talk BBQ
Tips, Tricks & Just Good Advice! => Burn it in the Back Yard with Hub! => Topic started by: Hub on October 05, 2016, 03:31:37 PM
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I hope we'll get lucky and this hurricane will be a non-event, but for folks on the east coast it could get a little too interesting. I was going to judge a contest in Rocky Mount, NC Saturday but it has been cancelled. It'll likely just be a slightly rainy day in my neighborhood but farther east there's danger of tidal surges and long bouts of wind and rain. Lousy weather for BBQ and almost everything else. Let's all be very careful out there.
Hub
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Yes, hope everyone stays safe and sound!
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Yes, hope everyone stays safe and sound!
Me too! Don
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I agree looks like Ct may dodge it
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I'll say a prayer for all of the east coast. I did see a report about it possibly circling east/northeast and coming back to hit the U.S.
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Pray this thing doesn't hit real hard
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Definitely praying that it makes an easterly turn before it gets to Georgia and Florida. We are right in line to get some heavy winds and rains this weekend. Will be locking down my cookers once again and hope our trailer stays put. Savannah Smoker may get harder than us as we are a little further inland than he is.
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My daughter & son-in-law decided to lock up the house and leave Savannah a day or so early for his brother's wedding in western NC. Smart kids.
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Leave if you can. We went through Ivan and it wasn't fun. Lost power for almost a month.
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My son and his family live on Top Sail Island, NC. I have been talking to him telling them to get packed and get out of there. j
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It's looking like from the Bahamas to about Daytona Beach are gonna get the worst of this one. Button her up or take a roadtrip, but be safe everyone!
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Everyone back east take care of yourselves. Stay safe.
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The last GFS (American) model shows Matthew riding the coast from Melbourne, FL up to Hilton Head, SC. At which point it comes off the coast and loops back to hit Miami. The Canadian Model shows a similar track, although it doesn't have it coming back to hit Miami. It only has it turning off the coast stalled out just NE of the Bahamas. In the short term, we are talking Friday morning possible landfall, and it won't be moving away from the area until Sunday, so we are looking at 48 hours of the whole SE coast being affected. Not a good situation especially if it doesn't make official landfall and the eye is over water, which doesn't weaken the storm and has a chance for intensification (sp?/ is this a word? I'm a scientist not an English major). Best case is actually making landfall (backward thinking I know) which would weaken the storm and hopefully change the track and allow other forces move it away from doing more damage.
I will be tracking it through the day today and into tonight. I have a Funeral Friday morning, but will continue to monitor when I get back home. I also have a friend in SC emergency management so if I hear anything of note from her, I will pass it along. Stay safe, move to higher ground, don't drive through water covered roads. 6" of quick moving water is all it takes to knock a person off their feet. Keep those phones charged, and have some battery backups!
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Mini Update:
6z Model runs (I don't like to use because they use incomplete data without weather balloon data)
Models seem to agree that Matthew will make landfall near West Palm/Port St. Lucie area. A couple models have it coming inland significantly (1/3 of the way into Florida), while most others have it making landfall but staying along the coast. A matter of 10 miles seems small, but it can mean the difference between rapid weakening and semi strengthening if it stays along the coast. To be clear these are not the best models to follow because they are using upper incomplete upper atmosphere data from planes flying near by or using data from previous model runs which could be wrong. They do start to show that the loop around to hit Miami seems less likely, which is very good news. More to come as weather balloon launching occur at 12Z then that information will be plugged into the models and the computers can do their thing. More to come...
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I worked for the DOD on black projects. My friend at EAFB/NASA/NOAA tells me that they are launching to 60k' every hour from VA into the storm. Says listen to NOAA not the local because they pump things up. The storm is still dangerous however.
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I worked for the DOD on black projects. My friend at EAFB/NASA/NOAA tells me that they are launching to 60k' every hour from VA into the storm. Says listen to NOAA not the local because they pump things up. The storm is still dangerous however.
NOAA Radio station list
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr/coverage/station_listing.html
Latest tracking information from GFS has it making landfall tonight (!!!) around West Palm Beach, FL, and staying inland until Hilton Head, SC. It weakens significantly which helps with the wind. Rain and storm surge will still be a big factor. This is still early and the model isn't finished running. Please be safe.
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Everyone be safe and good luck to those in the path
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Just upgraded to a Cat 4. Be careful everybody
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My daughter called from the road (Greenville, SC) and said they told everyone in Savannah east of I-95 to evacuate. For those of you not all that familiar with the area, that's pretty much the entire city (about 140,000 folks or so, including one or two of ours). Serious stuff.
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Hope all got out to a safe place and your homes cone through it!!! Don
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Be safe everyone
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I live 12 miles inland from West Palm Beach. We dodged another one; only got wind gusts under 45 mph and no power outage. My sister in law in Orlando lost power since 8 pm last night. It looks like the Daytona area got most of the storm. You never know about these storms and have to always play it safe and prepare.
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Well, my daughter's just getting into the thick of it. She's in St. Augustine, west of I-95. They've been getting solid rain all night and now the wind's picking up.
I'm supposed to headed up to Blue Ridge, north of Wilkesboro. Wish I'd gone up yesterday. It's been coming down pretty steady all morning here in Charlotte.
Bags are packed, but not loaded on the bike, yet.
BD